politics
New York now?
The internal Republican and Democratic polls, details of which were
provided to The Post, have stunned members of both parties - and
produced deep worries among Democrats. …The private polls have consistently shown the Obama-Biden ticket still
leading but with less than 50 percent of the vote in a state where
Democrats outnumber Republicans by over 2.3 million voters.The last Siena poll had Obama only up by eight in August. Apparently, that margin has narrowed even further, a shocking result for a Northeastern state considered a lock for Democrats. The McCain campaign may start spending money in New York if the results get further confirmed by public polls due out today and later this week.
What happened? The Post credits the selection of Sarah Palin as McCain’s running mate, but the snub of their Senator by Obama for the other position may have created a backlash among New Yorkers. The tax problems of Charlie Rangel may have contributed to the falling fortunes of Democrats, and the Post forgets that this is the first election since Eliot Spitzer’s resignation over his affairs with high-priced hookers. If the Republican brand suffered nationally, the Democratic brand isn’t doing well in New York now, and the reform rhetoric of Obama isn’t convincing voters there.
If Obama loses his grip on New York, he can’t possibly win the election. If he has to sink a large amount of money in New York, he’ll have to take it from his efforts in battleground states, and he’ll have to cut his face time in places like Michigan, Ohio, Colorado, and Minnesota. That’s a recipe for defeat, both financially and electorally.
Wow. Obviously I would not take this as a sign that McCain will make a 40+ state sweep, but it is a sign that Obama’s camp is either panicking or they should be.
How are those Biden intrade numbers?
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